No other sport is seeing the same changes as baseball!
Never have we witnessed a game change so drastically so quickly as baseball has over the last few seasons.
Right before our eyes, it seems, baseball has changed in ways that have altered the way we play the game, coach the game and even prepare players for the game.
The 2018 season saw:
- More Strikeouts than Hits. For the first time in the history of the game.
- In 2006 Hits led by 13,418.
- Fewer Balls in Play. 800 fewer than in 2017.
- 6000 fewer than 4 years ago and 11000 fewer than 10 years ago.
- 8000 Defensive Shifts. 30% more than in 2017. 500% more than in 2013.
- Fewer Home Runs.
- In 2017 there was an average of 1.26 HR/game.
- In 2018, 1.15 HR/game.
- Single season team homerun record. Yankees took the title with 267 Homeruns in 2018
- 20+ Homerun Club. For the third straight season, there were more than 100 players who hit 20 or more homeruns in a season.
- 2016 was the first time this happened in major league history.
- Injury Rates are up in minor league ball.
- MLB Injury rates were a reported 3% down in 2018. But still at a historically high level considering all we now know.
Why such drastic and conflicting changes?
For one, analytics and data are now driving the game.
Take the defensive shift as an example. We are seeing more shifts than ever before and it makes sense, the shift has all but guaranteed that a ground ball is an automatic out. At least until the hitters catch up and hone their skills enough to hit, at will, to the opposite side. The results of the shift, more strikeouts than hits, a change in batters launch angles and a swing for the fence. In fact, bat exit speeds in 2018 were 87.7 miles per hour, up from 86.7mph in 2017. And, while home run totals were down in 2018 the number of players hitting 20 or more in a season is up and the Yankees set the all-time record for team homeruns in a season. It’s crazy but if you can hit homeruns you have great value as a player.
Stolen bases have all but disappeared from the game. Rickey Henderson single-handedly stole 130 bases in 1982. In 2018 the Cleveland Indians have the TEAM record for stolen bases…130. Its simple math, pitchers are faster to home plate, catchers are faster throwing to second, base runners beware, if you have running speed, incredible quickness and can get good reads you have great value as a player.
The game is changing and I love it. I love the science, I love the technology and I love the challenge of getting a leg up on the competition.
So what is next for baseball?
Engineered Player Performance
Run Faster. Hit hard to all fields. Cover more ground. See better, react better. Throw NOT as hard!! Stay healthy… the list goes on.
The good news, we can do all of this and it’s going to be fun.
It is my prediction that the game of baseball will remain in a state of flux bouncing and reacting to the play on the field. And, for the organization and team that can fine-tune their formula to stay just slightly or even partly in-front of the data-driven performance, there will be a GREAT advantage.
Could it be enough to stay on the top of the game and even contend for, or even capture a World Series? I would love to find out!
In the meantime, we will be watching the game of baseball with great interest.
Jeff
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